Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 15

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Hürth		Pesch

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.7	3.7
	1.73	3.85	3.3
	1.71	3.85	3.5
	1.81	4.16	3.57
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.73	3.9	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	3.83 ↓ (4.04)	3.61 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hürth
51.7%

Draw
23.5%

Pesch
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

22.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

17.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hürth than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hürth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pesch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hürth - Pesch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Hürth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pesch is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hürth is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hürth won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hürth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Hürth
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
27.11.22	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Hürth	3:1 ✺
09.11.22	Hürth - Wegberg-Beeck	0:4 ✺
06.11.22	Blau-Weiß Königsdorf - Hürth	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Hürth - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Siegburger - Hürth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWTT
- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
27.11.22	Pesch - Fortuna Köln II	2:2 ✺
13.11.22	Pesch - Eintracht Hohkeppel	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Pesch	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	Pesch - Wegberg-Beeck	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Vichttal - Pesch	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
18.04.22	Pesch - Hürth	1:2
14.10.21	Hürth - Pesch	2:2
25.10.20	Pesch - Hürth	3:2
04.03.18	Hürth - Pesch	1:1
01.09.17	Pesch - Hürth	2:2

Hürth - Pesch

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Hürth - Pesch Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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