Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Bergisch Gladbach		Pesch

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.33	4.4
	1.47	4.3	4.6
	1.51	4.76	4.82
	1.57	4.5	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	4.47 ↑ (4.34)	4.51 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergisch Gladbach
59.7%

Draw
20.2%

Pesch
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

20.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

17.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergisch Gladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Pesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergisch Gladbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pesch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Bergisch Gladbach is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pesch has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bergisch Gladbach is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bergisch Gladbach won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergisch Gladbach won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergisch Gladbach
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
30.10.22	Vichttal - Bergisch Gladbach	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Frechen	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Bergisch Gladbach	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Hennef 05	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Bonner - Bergisch Gladbach	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLT
- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
30.10.22	Pesch - Wegberg-Beeck	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Vichttal - Pesch	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Pesch - Blau-Weiß Königsdorf	0:4 ✺
12.10.22	Pesch - Borussia Freialdenhoven	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Frechen - Pesch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
15.05.22	Pesch - Bergisch Gladbach	0:3
31.10.21	Bergisch Gladbach - Pesch	3:2
29.10.17	Pesch - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1

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