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Current Win Probability
HK Kópavogur 62.2%
Draw 19.5%
Vestri 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
23.1%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
22.4%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HK Kópavogur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HK Kópavogur's performance.
Vestri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vestri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HK Kópavogur that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vestri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
HK Kópavogur - Vestri Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HK Kópavogur (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
HK Kópavogur will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Asgeirsson O. (G) 10. Andrason A. 5. Antonsson T. 26. Benediktsson V. 3. Gissurarson I. 19. Gunnarsson A. 21. Jonsson I. (C) 29. Karlsson K. 4. Larusson A. 17. Radic D. 28. Thorvarsson T.
1. Steinarsson M. (G) 3. Edson Eduardo 77. Fall S. 22. Gardarsson E. (C) 10. Hafthorsson T. G. 17. Hauksson G. 23. Hermannsson B. 27. Morfelt C. 12. Phete T. 7. Stensson J. 15. Svavarsson G.
Substitutes
73. Arnarson N. 9. Arnarsson J. 7. Axelsson D. 22. Eiriksson H. 45. Gudmundsson A. 25. Steinsson A. (G) 23. Vigfusson B.
19. Duah E. 45. Einarsson G. 14. Eydal B. 18. Hagbardsson M. 13. Johannsson A. 11. Selven J. 33. Snaedal B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Radic D. ⚽, Jonsson I. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Thorvarsson T. ⚽, Larusson A. (A),
37', 3 - 0, Benediktsson V. ⚽, Andrason A. (A),
44', 4 - 0, Karlsson K. ⚽, Thorvarsson T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', Gardarsson E. 🟨,
67', 4 - 1, Svavarsson G. ⚽, Fall S. (A),
67', Karlsson K. ↓, Axelsson D. ↑,
67', Andrason A. ↓, Vigfusson B. ↑,
67', Thorvarsson T. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
70', Hermannsson B. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
70', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Hagbardsson M. ↑,
72', 5 - 1, Radic D. ⚽, Arnarsson J. (A),
77', Radic D. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
77', Gissurarson I. ↓, Arnarson N. ↑,
80', Phete T. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
85', 5 - 2, Hagbardsson M. ⚽, Morfelt C. (A),
90+3', 6 - 2, Johannsson A. (Own goal),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 1.
HK Kópavogur is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vestri is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
HK Kópavogur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, HK Kópavogur is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, HK Kópavogur won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, HK Kópavogur won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Watch
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Asgeirsson O. (G) 
Radic D. 
Edson Eduardo 
Fall S. 
Morfelt C. 
Phete T. 
Duah E. 
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