Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Location: Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass (Ísafjörður)


	Vestri		Fylkir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	4.00	1.61
	4.70	4.00	1.54	Watch
	4.11	4.30	1.75
	4.96	4.67	1.53	Watch
	4.00	3.90	1.74
	4.11	4.25	1.61	Watch
	4.10	4.20	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.32)	4.19 ↑ (3.48)	1.63 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vestri
21.5%

Draw
22%

Fylkir
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.3%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vestri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vestri's form might have worsened.

Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylkir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fylkir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	19%	66.7%

Vestri - Fylkir Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vestri will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Fylkir will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fylkir: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylkir (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steinarsson M. (G) 29. Cheshmedjiev K. 19. Duah E. 22. Gardarsson E. (C) 10. Hafthorsson T. G. 17. Hauksson G. 23. Hermannsson B. 27. Morfelt C. 12. Phete T. 7. Stensson J. 15. Svavarsson G.	1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 3. Asthorsson A. (C) 17. Eythorsson B. 14. Gunnarsson T. 7. Hilmarsson M. 4. Jonsson H. 6. Leosson G. 20. Oskarsson T. 70. Tyrfingsson G. 9. Wohler E.
Substitutes
45. Einarsson G. 14. Eydal B. 77. Fall S. 18. Hagbardsson M. 13. Johannsson A. 11. Selven J. 33. Snaedal B. (G)	19. Gislason A. 23. Gudbjornsson A. 18. Gunnarsson N. 92. Sigfusson K. 30. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 5. Stefansson O. 8. Traustason D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
8', 0 - 1, Tyrfingsson G. ⚽, Eythorsson B. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Hilmarsson M. ⚽, Wohler E. (A),
16', 0 - 3, Hilmarsson M. ⚽, Arnarsson B. (A),
35', 0 - 4, Wohler E. ⚽, Arnarsson B. (A),
45+3', 0 - 5, Tyrfingsson G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 5, Hafthorsson T. G. ⚽, Hauksson G. (A),
56', Cheshmedjiev K. ↓, Einarsson G. ↑,
56', Duah E. ↓, Fall S. ↑,
67', Eythorsson B. 🟨,
69', Gardarsson E. 🟨,
70', Hermannsson B. ↓, Selven J. ↑,
70', Phete T. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
70', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Eydal B. ↑,
71', Wohler E. ↓, Traustason D. ↑,
71', Leosson G. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
72', Oskarsson T. 🟨,
81', Arnarsson B. ↓, Gislason A. ↑,
81', Asthorsson A. ↓, Gudbjornsson A. ↑,
84', Fall S. 🟨,
85', 2 - 5, Hauksson G. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Oskarsson T. ↓, Sigfusson K. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 0.

Vestri has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fylkir is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fylkir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fylkir is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vestri won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Vestri
UEFA Europa League
09.07.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Vestri	3:0 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
04.07.26	Grindavik - Vestri	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Throttur Reykjavik - Vestri	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Vestri - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Vestri - Ægir	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTTWW
- Fylkir Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
03.07.26	Ægir - Fylkir	2:4 ✺
26.06.26	Fylkir - HK Kópavogur	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Grótta - Fylkir	2:5 ✺
17.06.26	Grindavik - Fylkir	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.06.26	Fylkir - Grótta	4:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
04.05.26	Fylkir - Vestri	2:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.10.24	Vestri - Fylkir	1:3
01.09.24	Vestri - Fylkir	0:0
18.06.24	Fylkir - Vestri	3:2
Icelandic Division 1
13.08.22	Vestri - Fylkir	0:1
04.06.22	Fylkir - Vestri	5:0

Vestri - Fylkir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide