Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Briotech Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	HPS		Atlantis Helsinki

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	1.95
	3	3.77	2.03	Watch
	3	3.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.19)	3.75 ↑ (3.62)	2 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPS
30.3%

Draw
24.2%

Atlantis Helsinki
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPS's form might have worsened.

Atlantis Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlantis Helsinki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlantis Helsinki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HPS - Atlantis Helsinki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tamminen J. (G) 37. Alatalo A. 9. Apajalahti E. 12. Kajanoja K. 26. Kilic B. 46. Lamberg E. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 28. Oris J. 11. Ryhanen T. 19. Saukkonen J.	91. Abdulai A. (G) 94. Ajunwoko C. 10. Bekhedda M. 11. Haruna B. 7. Kouakou K. 37. Landu J. 27. Nyemb F. 3. Riikonen P. 20. Salau S. 5. Sevcenko V. 19. Sidi Yakoub A.
Substitutes
21. Boughrara H. 27. Gronberg S. 23. Heiskanen L. 14. Lilja S. 13. Manadir R. (G) 22. Omar A. 45. Painilainen A. 24. Sipola J. 6. Sopanen L.	26. Boulakhras A. 88. El Safa A. A. 21. Eshroukh-Maharzah S. 33. Hirvonen S. 2. Karttunen O. 41. Mahammed A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ))

Both teams are currently in poor form.

HPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, HPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Including home match between the teams, HPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
09.05.26	MYPA - HPS	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	HPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	HPS - IFK Mariehamn	1:2 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
24.04.26	Lahden Reipas - HPS	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	HPS - Puistolan Urheilijat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLTL
- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.05.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Union Plaani	5:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kiffen 08 - Atlantis Helsinki	4:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Honka	3:4 penalties ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
25.04.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - Atlantis Helsinki	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Atlantis Helsinki - MYPA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
16.05.23	HPS - Atlantis Helsinki	0:6

HPS - Atlantis Helsinki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide