Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Winners stage

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Briotech Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	HPS		PEPO Lappeenranta

	1	X	2
	4.40	4.20	1.52
	5.01	4.67	1.49
	4.84	4.51	1.51	Watch
	4.95	4.45	1.47
	4.37	4.51	1.62
	3.6	4.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.6)	4.41 ↑ (4.1)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPS
20.2%

Draw
20.8%

PEPO Lappeenranta
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

21.8%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

21.3%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PEPO Lappeenranta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

HPS - PEPO Lappeenranta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Saarto P. (G) 37. Alatalo A. 27. Gronberg S. 26. Kilic B. 14. Lilja S. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 10. Rekola B. 7. Simonov I. 49. Tusa K.	12. Kuitto M. (G) 8. Ahamdi E. 10. Enbuska J. 20. Hadi A. 29. Junnikkala A. 21. Kohonen L. 14. Maki-Uuro T. 7. Salminen M. (C) 4. Seppala E. 11. Sikanen E. 6. Turppo O.
Substitutes
21. Boughrara H. 1. Hallikainen L. (G) 5. Immonen N. 12. Kajanoja K. 33. Kuusniemi T. 22. Omar A. 24. Sipola J. 25. Tamminen J. (G)	13. Hinkkanen J. 9. Jammeh I. 19. Koistinen M. 23. Kopra T. (G) 22. Kotanen A. 2. Maijanen V. 26. Pesonen P. 17. Royti J. 16. Suoraniemi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Alatalo A. 🟨,
38', Lilja S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alatalo A. ↓, Boughrara H. ↑,
46', Maki-Uuro T. ↓, Kotanen A. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Turppo O. ⚽,
59', Ahamdi E. ↓, Suoraniemi S. ↑,
60', Hadi A. ↓, Koistinen M. ↑,
67', Sikanen E. ↓, Hinkkanen J. ↑,
69', Junnikkala A. 🟨,
74', Gronberg S. ↓, Immonen N. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Niskanen M. ⚽,
82', Junnikkala A. ↓, Pesonen P. ↑,
83', Simonov I. ↓, Sipola J. ↑,
90+2', Rekola B. 🟨,

Preview

HPS is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

PEPO is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, PEPO is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, HPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.09.26	HPS - PPJ Ruoholahti	1:4 ✺
03.09.26	HIFK - HPS	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Kiffen 08 - HPS	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kiffen 08 - HPS	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	HPS - Union Plaani	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.09.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Atlantis Helsinki - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - PPJ Ruoholahti	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
11.07.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HPS	2:0
02.05.26	HPS - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2

HPS - PEPO Lappeenranta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide