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Current Win Probability
HPS 63.5%
Draw 20.4%
PK-35 Helsinki 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.9%
19.6%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
14.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
PK-35 Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPS than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PK-35 Helsinki than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
HPS - PK 35 Helsinki Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roine V. (G) 25. Angeria J. 6. Attola S. 42. Hamalainen N. (C) 20. Jaaskelainen O. 22. Karjalainen R. 90. Kontturi P. 15. Oksanen V. 11. Paakkari E. 14. Perttula T. 17. Sinivuori F.
12. Kotoaro T. (C) 66. Gronberg M. 23. Gronlund J. 20. Harmaala A. 16. Hassinen S. 25. Karkkainen S. 80. Kato S. 26. Laine I. 10. Laurinkoski H. 24. Lindroth A. 8. Oi M.
Substitutes
23. Ferm S. (G) 18. Forsten A. 12. Kamppi P. 40. Kerko A. 24. Nurminen M. 9. Rinkinen H. 10. Xiang Q.
30. Bethea L. 21. Hausen C. (G) 35. Lampinen A. 9. Leppamaki H. 3. Raisanen L. 17. Sjoman M. 11. Tanninen A. 7. Tavi P. 77. Velez S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Karjalainen R. ⚽, Perttula T. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Karjalainen R. ⚽, Jaaskelainen O. (A),
40', Kontturi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Laurinkoski H. ↓, Bethea L. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Hassinen S. ⚽, Gronberg M. (A),
59', Harmaala A. ↓, Lampinen A. ↑,
61', Perttula T. ↓, Forsten A. ↑,
64', Laine I. 🟨,
69', Karjalainen R. ↓, Kamppi P. ↑,
76', Karkkainen S. 🟨,
77', Karkkainen S. ↓, Sjoman M. ↑,
83', Forsten A. 🟨,
85', Gronberg M. ↓, Leppamaki H. ↑,
90', Angeria J. ↓, Kerko A. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPS won 3.
HPS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
PK-35 Helsinki has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
PK-35 Helsinki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, HPS is the clear favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, HPS won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 2.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, HPS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).