Match Info
Suomen Cup Women - FinalDate: 6 September 2026, SundayLocation: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)
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 |
|
 |
|
|
HPS |
|
HJK |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.80 |
4.40 |
1.47 |
|
 |
4.6 |
4.15 |
1.5 |
|
 |
4.82 |
4.13 |
1.51 |
|
 |
4.68 |
4.15 |
1.55 |
|
 |
4.75 |
4.05 |
1.49 |
|
 |
3.6 |
4.32 |
1.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.54 ↑
(3.33) |
4.2 ↑
(4.1) |
1.55 ↓
(1.83) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
HPS
19.9% | Draw
21.5% | HJK
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HPS's form might have worsened.HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.HPS - HJK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Sarelius K. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Perttula T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Extra Time (0 - 2)
- 105+6', 1 - 2, Kiviranta M. ⚽,
- 120+1', 1 - 3, Ylatalo I. ⚽,
Preview
Neutral location - Tammelan Stadion.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPS won 0.HPS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).HJK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, HPS has had a series of home games. In this match, HJK is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPS won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:49. (average 1:2.5).Including home matches between the teams, HPS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.2:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women | | | 21.08.26 | HPS - HJK | 3:3 | | 19.07.26 | HJK - HPS | 4:0 | | 17.05.26 | HPS - HJK | 1:2 | | 24.09.25 | HPS - HJK | 1:1 | | 22.08.25 | HJK - HPS | 5:2 | | 18.07.25 | HJK - HPS | 4:0 | | 17.05.25 | HPS - HJK | 1:3 |
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