Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	HSV Hoek		Blauw Geel 38

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.33	4.5
	1.62	4.35	3.82
	2.36	2.33	4.40	Watch
	1.63	4.29	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.48)	3.83 ↓ (4.53)	4.3 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
52.8%

Draw
24.9%

Blauw Geel 38
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

20.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

20.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSV Hoek's form might have worsened.

Blauw Geel 38 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSV Hoek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blauw Geel 38 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

HSV Hoek - Blauw Geel 38 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Hoek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blauw Geel is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hoek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Blauw Geel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hoek is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
20.09.25	RKAV Volendam - HSV Hoek	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	HSV Hoek - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.25	HSV Hoek - Rijnvogels	6:4 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
30.08.25	Spakenburg - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	HSV Hoek - Koninklijke HFC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTWWW
- Blauw Geel 38
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.25	Blauw Geel 38 - ASWH	5:0 ✺
06.09.25	Blauw Geel 38 - Kloetinge	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.09.25	Blauw Geel 38 - VVOG	2:1 penalties ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
30.08.25	SteDoCo - Blauw Geel 38	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Blauw Geel 38 - Noordwijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWW

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