Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Ergilio Hato (Willemstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Honduras	Deportes TV
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, NBC Universo, Paramount+, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Haiti		Honduras

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.48	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.67	3.14	2.7
	3.85	2.69	2.25	Watch
	2.59	3.22	2.91	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.71)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)	2.74 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haiti
34.3%

Draw
31.2%

Honduras
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Honduras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	50%	28.6%

Haiti - Honduras Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Haiti will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Honduras will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Haiti (votes: 1 - 25%). Honduras (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Honduras (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Haiti (votes: 1 - 20%). Honduras (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pierre A. (G) Sochaux 2. Arcus C. Angers 22. Duverne J. Nantes 14. Pierre L. Vizela 4. Ade R. (C) LDU Quito 13. Lacroix D. Colorado Springs 17. Jean Jacques D. Philadelphia Union 11. Deedson L. FC Dallas 10. Bellegarde J. Wolves 20. Pierrot F. AEK 7. Picault F. Inter Miami	1. Menjivar E. (G) Olimpia 15. Montes G. Herediano 8. Rosales J. Minnesota United 14. Najar A. Nashville SC 11. Benguche J. 4. Martinez J. Alverca 17. Palma L. Lech Poznan 16. Rodriguez E. Olimpia 20. Flores D. (C) Al Najma 23. Alvarez J. Olimpia 12. Quioto R. Al Najma
Substitutes
21. Attys C. Triestina 15. Desdunes J. AV Alta FC 12. Duverger J. (G) Cosmos Koblenz 19. Fortune Y. Vizela 6. Metusala G. Colorado Springs 5. Michel T. Ciudad de Ibiza CF 9. Nazon D. Esteghlal TEH 8. Providence R. Almere City 18. Sainte C. F. Phoenix Rising 3. Thermoncy K.	21. Arboleda Y. Olimpia 2. Crisanto L. Motagua 5. Flores F. Real Espana 22. Lopez L. (G) Real Espana 9. Lozano C. Santos Laguna 6. Melendez C. Motagua 18. Ortiz L. (G) Motagua 19. Pineda C. Sporting San Jose 10. Ruiz D. Inter Miami 3. Santos M. Motagua 7. Vargas A. SJK 13. Vega Orellana A. N. Marathon
Coaches
Migne S.	Rueda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Deedson L. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
74', Pierrot F. ↓, Nazon D. ↑,
74', Benguche J. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
74', Quioto R. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
80', Alvarez J. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
80', Rodriguez E. ↓, Pineda C. ↑,
81', Bellegarde J. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
81', Picault F. ↓, Fortune Y. ↑,
90+5', Palma L. ↓, Vega Orellana A. N. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Haiti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haiti
Gold Cup
22.06.25	USA - Haiti	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Trinidad & Tobago - Haiti	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Haiti - Saudi Arabia	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Haiti - Curaçao	1:5 ✺
07.06.25	Aruba - Haiti	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLW
- Honduras
Gold Cup
02.07.25	Mexico - Honduras	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Panama - Honduras	1:2 penalties ✺
24.06.25	Honduras - Curaçao	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Honduras - Salvador	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Canada - Honduras	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Gold Cup
02.07.23	Honduras - Haiti	2:1
13.07.15	Haiti - Honduras	1:0
08.07.13	Haiti - Honduras	0:2

Haiti - Honduras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide