Match Info

Gold Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	OneSoccer, TLN, TSN 3, Univision Canada, VIVA
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Saudi-arabia	Aloula, KSA Sports 1
Singapore	HUB Sports 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Sky Sports Korea
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Maincast
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	VIX App


	Panama		Honduras

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.9	5
				Watch
	1.92	3.45	4.37
				Watch
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.88	3.42	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.52)	3.62 ↓ (4.43)	4.73 ↓ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panama
53.8%

Draw
26.2%

Honduras
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panama's form might have worsened.

Honduras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panama than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honduras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Panama - Honduras Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Panama will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panama will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mosquera O. (G) Al Fayha 23. Murillo M. Marseille 4. Escobar F. Saprissa 16. Andrade A. LASK Linz 26. Gutierrez J. Deportivo La Guaira 20. Godoy A. (C) San Diego FC 14. Harvey C. Minnesota United 7. Puma Juarez 6. Martinez C. Shmona 10. Diaz I. U. Catolica 24. Rodriguez T. Monagas	1. Menjivar E. (G) Olimpia 26. Crisanto L. Juticalpa 2. Maldonado D. (C) Univ. Craiova 3. Martinez J. Olimpia 8. Rosales J. Minnesota United 5. Arriaga K. Zaragoza 20. Flores D. Toronto FC 16. Rodriguez E. Olimpia 23. Alvarez J. Olimpia 12. Quioto R. Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 11. Benguche J.
Substitutes
2. Blackman C. Slovan Bratislava 25. Cedeno E. Tarazona 3. Cordoba J. Norwich 15. Davis E. Vila Nova FC 5. Farina E. Khimki 8. Griffith V. St Johnstone 9. Guerrero E. Dynamo Kyiv 12. Gunn J. (G) New England Revolution 11. Londono A. U. Catolica 1. Mejia L. (G) Club Nacional 13. Morales J. Macara 21. Yanis C. Cobresal	21. Arboleda Y. Olimpia 25. Licona M. (G) Motagua 10. Lopez A. Olancho 22. Lopez L. (G) Real Espana 9. Lozano C. Santos Laguna 15. Montes G. Herediano 17. Palma L. Olympiacos Piraeus 19. Pineda C. Olimpia 7. Pinto J. Olimpia 18. Ramirez D. Real Espana 4. Vega L. Motagua 14. Vega Orellana A. N. Marathon
Coaches
Christiansen T.	Rueda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Diaz I. (Pen),
45+4', Martinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodriguez E. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
46', Benguche J. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
49', Crisanto L. 🟨,
58', Diaz I. 🟨,
66', Quioto R. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
67', Alvarez J. ↓, Pineda C. ↑,
74', Martinez C. ↓, Griffith V. ↑,
74', Rodriguez T. ↓, Guerrero E. ↑,
80', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ⚽, Pineda C. (A),
90+2', Gutierrez J. ↓, Davis E. ↑,
90+3', Andrade A. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Escobar F. (Pen),
1, Palma L. (Pen),
2, Diaz I. (Pen),
2, Arriaga K. (Pen),
3, Godoy A. (Pen),
3, Rosales J. (Pen),
4, Harvey C. (Pen),
4, Maldonado D. (Pen),
5, Davis E. (Pen),
5, Lozano C. (Pen),
6, Guerrero E. (Pen),
6, Pineda C. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panama won 1.

Panama has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Honduras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Panama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Panama is considered a favorite.

We predict that Panama will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Panama won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panama
Gold Cup
24.06.25	Panama - Jamaica	4:1 ✺
20.06.25	Guatemala - Panama	0:1 ✺
16.06.25	Panama - Guadeloupe	5:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Panama - Nicaragua	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Belize - Panama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Honduras
Gold Cup
24.06.25	Honduras - Curaçao	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Honduras - Salvador	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Canada - Honduras	6:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Honduras - Antigua and Barbuda	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Cayman Islands - Honduras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Panama - Honduras	1:1
12.11.21	Honduras - Panama	2:3
Gold Cup
17.07.21	Panama - Honduras	2:3
Friendly
16.11.18	Honduras - Panama	1:0
FIFA World Cup
13.06.17	Panama - Honduras	2:2
Central American Cup
17.01.17	Panama - Honduras	0:1
FIFA World Cup
11.11.16	Honduras - Panama	0:1

Panama - Honduras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide