Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 1 February 2024, Thursday


	Hajer		Al-Arabi Al-Saudi

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.3	1.66
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4.51	3.35	1.72
	4.73	3.18	1.72
	4.5	3.5	1.57
	4.82	3.42	1.68	Watch
	4.9	3.4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.84)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	1.67 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajer
19.4%

Draw
26.7%

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

28.7%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajer than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Hajer - Al Arabi Al Saudi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hajer will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Al-Arabi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Arabi: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Hajer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Arabi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hajer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Arabi is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hajer won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hajer won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajer Club
Saudi Division 1
09.01.24	Hajer - Al-Qaisumah	1:0 ✺
03.01.24	Al-Qadisiya - Hajer	3:0 ✺
25.12.23	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
18.12.23	Al-Kholood - Hajer	2:2 ✺
13.12.23	Al-Adalh - Hajer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLTTT
- Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Division 1
23.01.24	Jeddah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1 ✺
10.01.24	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1 ✺
02.01.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Batin	3:0 ✺
27.12.23	Al-Taraji - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Orobah	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.08.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Hajer	4:0
27.01.23	Hajer - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1
22.08.22	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Hajer	2:2

Hajer - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide