Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 25 December 2023, Monday


	Hajer		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.5	1.65
	4.5	3.6	1.66
	4.75	3.55	1.7
	4.75	3.54	1.71
	4.4	3.5	1.57
	4.5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.38)	3.56 ↑ (3.2)	1.66 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hajer
20%

Draw
25.5%

Al-Faisaly
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.4%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hajer's form might have worsened.

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Faisaly's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajer than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hajer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hajer - Al Faisaly Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hajer will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hajer won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Al-Faisaly is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hajer won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Hajer won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajer Club
Saudi Division 1
18.12.23	Al-Kholood - Hajer	2:2 ✺
13.12.23	Al-Adalh - Hajer	1:1 ✺
05.12.23	Hajer - Al-Ain	0:0 ✺
27.11.23	Al-Bukayriyah - Hajer	2:2 ✺
06.11.23	Hajer - Al-Batin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TTTTT
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
19.12.23	Al-Faisaly - Jeddah	1:4 ✺
13.12.23	Al-Ain - Al-Faisaly	3:4 ✺
06.12.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly	3:0 ✺
28.11.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Qaisumah	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Safa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
07.02.23	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	1:0
06.09.22	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	1:0
Saudi Professional League
26.02.16	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	0:1
29.10.15	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	3:1
01.03.15	Hajer - Al-Faisaly	0:2
11.09.14	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	2:0
02.03.13	Al-Faisaly - Hajer	3:0

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