Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Department of Education Stadium (Unaizah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	7.3	4.65	1.32
	9.16	5.83	1.25
	6.9	4.89	1.35
	9	5	1.25
	10.7	5.15	1.23
	8	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.51 ↑ (3.48)	5.09 ↑ (3.59)	1.28 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
10.7%

Draw
18%

Al-Faisaly
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.3%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

23.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's form might have worsened.

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Faisaly's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Al Arabi Al Saudi - Al Faisaly Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Faisaly (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Al Mushawh A. (G) 66. Freij H. 70. Daqarshawi A. 48. Faraj A. 17. Abed A. 12. Al Jaadi T. 7. Al Sufyani M. 8. Udo S. 10. Waheeb W. (C) 41. Al Sahli N. 32. Al Bishi B.	26. Al Hasawi M. (G) 2. Barnawi Y. 91. Idris R. 4. Raphael Silva 3. Doshy M. 77. Al Shereaf A. 66. Quioto R. 99. Al Mhemaid A. 12. Morato 90. Luvannor (C) 27. Al Rahmani S.
Substitutes
92. Al Aseel F. 33. Al Hunaidi R. 88. Al Muthin N. 85. Al Rashidi H. 34. Al Rashidi M. (G) 47. Al Salem M. 96. Al Wahabi S. 26. Al Zaqan A. 20. Ciss A.	28. Al Fuhaid M. 14. Al Mogren A. 7. Al Nakhli M. 29. Al Sahli A. 50. Al Shanqiti M. 72. Gabous S. (G) 22. Haddad M. 88. Haddad S. 70. Jahfali M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Al Mhemaid A. ⚽,
18', Al Mhemaid A. 🟨,
33', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Luvannor ⚽, Morato (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Waheeb W. ↓, Al Zaqan A. ↑,
46', Al Bishi B. ↓, Al Rashidi H. ↑,
46', 0 - 3, Quioto R. ⚽,
63', Al Sufyani M. ↓, Al Salem M. ↑,
72', Quioto R. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
72', Luvannor ↓, Al Sahli A. ↑,
72', Al Mhemaid A. ↓, Al Mogren A. ↑,
74', Faraj A. ↓, Ciss A. ↑,
79', Al Sahli N. 🟨,
80', Doshy M. ↓, Al Shanqiti M. ↑,
80', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Jahfali M. ↑,
85', Idris R. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+6', Al Fuhaid M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2.

Al-Arabi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Faisaly's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Arabi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Faisaly is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Division 1
21.01.26	Al-Anwar - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:0 ✺
16.01.26	Al Jandal - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Jabalain	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
21.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Abha	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Batin - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
16.09.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:0
04.04.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1
08.11.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly	2:1
23.04.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1
06.12.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly	3:0
11.04.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly	0:2
09.11.22	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:3

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