Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 28

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday


	Hallbergmoos-Goldach		Erlbach

	1	X	2
	4.7	3.7	1.52
	5.34	4.04	1.56
	5.45	4.1	1.52
	5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↓ (7.2)	3.96 ↓ (5)	1.54 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hallbergmoos-Goldach
17.8%

Draw
23%

Erlbach
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

18.1%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

17.5%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hallbergmoos-Goldach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hallbergmoos-Goldach's performance.

Erlbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erlbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hallbergmoos-Goldach than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hallbergmoos-Goldach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erlbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hallbergmoos Goldach - Erlbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Hallbergmoos-Goldach has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Erlbach is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hallbergmoos-Goldach could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Erlbach is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Erlbach to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hallbergmoos-Goldach won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Hallbergmoos-Goldach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
08.04.23	Kirchanschöring - Hallbergmoos-Goldach	2:1 ✺
31.03.23	Hallbergmoos-Goldach - Garching	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Deisenhofen - Hallbergmoos-Goldach	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Hallbergmoos-Goldach - Dachau	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Schalding-Heining - Hallbergmoos-Goldach	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
06.04.23	Erlbach - Ingolstadt II	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ismaning - Erlbach	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	1860 Rosenheim - Erlbach	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Erlbach - Kirchanschöring	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Garching - Erlbach	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
09.09.22	Erlbach - Hallbergmoos-Goldach	4:1

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