Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Hamburger II		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.57	3.75	2.48
	2.52	3.5	2.47
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.48	3.42	2.4
	1.98	3.8	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.01)	3.55 ↓ (3.79)	2.54 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger II
38%

Draw
25.8%

Phönix Lübeck
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamburger II's form might have worsened.

Phönix Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phönix Lübeck's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamburger II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phönix Lübeck, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Markvoort Beke J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg II won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Phönix Lübeck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Phönix Lübeck has had a series of home games.

Hamburg II could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hamburg II won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Phonix Lubeck	11	7	2	2	30:9	21	23
16	Hamburger SV II	11	3	1	7	15:25	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hamburger II - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.51%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
26.04.26	Werder Bremen II - Hamburger II	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Hamburger II - Kickers Emden	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Eintracht Norderstedt - Hamburger II	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Hamburger II - Schöningen	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Hamburger II - Altona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWTW
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
25.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Jeddeloh	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lübeck - Phönix Lübeck	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Hannover II	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - Kickers Emden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
18.10.25	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	1:0
01.03.25	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
30.08.24	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	1:1
08.05.24	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	6:2
14.04.24	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
26.04.23	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	2:1
25.09.22	Phönix Lübeck - Hamburger II	3:1

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