Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Breier N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Carl Zeiss Jena

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.7	3.35
	1.8	4.15	3.76
	2.16	3.82	2.84	Watch
	1.86	3.7	3.44
	2.42	3.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.42)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	3.16 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
46.2%

Draw
24.3%

Carl Zeiss Jena
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

23.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.

Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carl Zeiss Jena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carl Zeiss Jena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamburger SV - Carl Zeiss Jena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Haidner L. (G) 6. Bohler A. 39. Racke N. 8. Stoldt S. 20. Hirche E. 29. Eggert L. 27. Mikolajova M. 28. Machtens P. (C) 23. Schwalm V. 11. Brunnthaler M. 22. Hillebrand S.	1. Janning J. (G) 7. Reuter M. 8. Strasser F. S. 3. Ihlenburg T. (C) 20. Schmid S. 23. Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. 25. Gentile N. 16. Gora L. 6. Andersson N. 24. Jaron I. 28. Reske E.
Substitutes
17. Buchele M. 7. Kardesler V. 31. Lahr J. 16. Meyer C. 1. Schuldt I. (G) 19. Schulz V. 24. Sierra A. 32. Wrede L. 15. Wucher A.	13. Etzold H. (G) 2. Fischer B. 5. Haering S. 14. Heuschkel A. 31. Juckel N. 4. Metzner A. 30. Muhlemann E. 27. Mummert G. 17. Tietz R.
Coaches
Brancao C.	Kastner F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Gentile N. 🟨,
17', Reske E. 🟨,
27', Gora L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Reuter M. ↓, Tietz R. ↑,
46', Reske E. ↓, Muhlemann E. ↑,
46', Hillebrand S. ↓, Wrede L. ↑,
60', Schwalm V. ↓, Meyer C. ↑,
60', Mikolajova M. ↓, Buchele M. ↑,
63', Gora L. ↓, Juckel N. ↑,
75', Bohler A. ↓, Lahr J. ↑,
75', Machtens P. ↓, Schulz V. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Schulz V. ⚽, Brunnthaler M. (A),
83', Gentile N. ↓, Haering S. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Tietz R. ⚽, Jaron I. (A),
90+1', Muhlemann E. 🟨,
90+2', Lahr J. 🟨,
90+5', Hirche E. 🟨,
90+5', Brunnthaler M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women).

Hamburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jena is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hamburg has had a series of away games.

Hamburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV Women
German Bundesliga Women
11.10.25	Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Hamburger SV - TSG Hoffenheim	1:4 ✺
25.09.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	6:2 ✺
13.09.25	SGS Essen - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWLT
- Carl Zeiss Jena Women
German Bundesliga Women
13.10.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bayern Munich - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Wolfsburg - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Women
14.04.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hamburger SV	3:1
15.10.23	Hamburger SV - Carl Zeiss Jena	5:0

Hamburger SV - Carl Zeiss Jena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide