Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 4

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ernst Abbe Sportfeld (Jena)

Referee: Schwermer M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Carl Zeiss Jena		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.55	1.35
	6.46	5.05	1.39
	6.40	4.83	1.40	Watch
	7.65	4.5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↓ (6.84)	4.73 ↑ (4.43)	1.37 (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl Zeiss Jena
13.5%

Draw
19.4%

Union Berlin
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

20.5%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

20.1%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Zeiss Jena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Carl Zeiss Jena - Union Berlin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etzold H. (G) 31. Juckel N. 8. Strasser F. S. 3. Ihlenburg T. 20. Schmid S. 23. Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. 16. Gora L. 25. Gentile N. 28. Reske E. 24. Jaron I. 17. Tietz R.	1. Bosl C. (G) 21. Weiss A. 5. Orschmann K. 19. Steuerwald S. 2. Schneider T. 29. Halverkamps A. 7. Heiseler L. 31. Pawollek T. 10. Campbell E. 42. Reissner N. 9. Weidauer S.
Substitutes
2. Fischer B. 5. Haering S. 14. Heuschkel A. 1. Janning J. (G) 10. Julevic M. 18. Margraf A. 4. Metzner A. 30. Muhlemann E.	15. Aagaard A. 4. Aehling A. 23. Bauereisen N. 6. Frank C. 25. Heikkinen I. 8. Janez K. 77. Moraitou A. 11. Orschmann D. 12. Wagner M. (G)
Coaches
Kastner F.	Poese A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Orschmann K. ⚽, Halverkamps A. (A),
37', Strasser F. S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Halverkamps A. ↓, Orschmann D. ↑,
46', Gora L. ↓, Julevic M. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Tietz R. ⚽, Jaron I. (A),
65', Reske E. ↓, Muhlemann E. ↑,
69', Reissner N. ↓, Heikkinen I. ↑,
69', Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. ↓, Haering S. ↑,
70', Heiseler L. ↓, Bauereisen N. ↑,
77', Weiss A. ↓, Aehling A. ↑,
81', Tietz R. ↓, Margraf A. ↑,
88', Julevic M. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Orschmann D. ⚽, Bauereisen N. (A),

Preview

Jena is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Union Berlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Union Berlin is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Zeiss Jena Women
German Bundesliga Women
20.09.25	Bayern Munich - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Wolfsburg - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:1 ✺
08.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - TSG Hoffenheim	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly Women
29.08.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Slavia Prague	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.7 TLLTL
- Union Berlin Women
German Bundesliga Women
20.09.25	Union Berlin - SGS Essen	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	Union Berlin - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
17.08.25	Union Berlin - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Union Berlin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLTLW

Carl Zeiss Jena - Union Berlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide