Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Losers stage

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Haminan Pallo-Kissat		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	6.25	5.75	1.29
	6.9	6.3	1.28
	6.13	5.6	1.3
	6.71	5.99	1.30	Watch
	8.15	6	1.26
	5.33	5.33	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.58 ↑ (5.71)	5.83 ↑ (5.3)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haminan Pallo-Kissat
13.9%

Draw
15.7%

Vaajakoski
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

17.5%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

16.9%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haminan Pallo-Kissat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vaajakoski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haminan Pallo-Kissat than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Haminan Pallo Kissat - Vaajakoski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kopra T. (G) 15. Anttila J. 14. Haapalainen R. 16. Kasurinen T. 4. Kolsi M. (C) 62. Laitinen J. 20. Lassila J. 19. Lehtinen J. 3. Puhakainen L. 13. Saarelainen A. 37. Silvo E.	99. Roiha W. (G) 28. Eloranta A. 14. Hamalainen A. 18. Jarvinen V. 10. Kovaqi G. 26. Kurkisuo S. 24. Liimatainen M. 2. Margaritidis A. 3. Sarkkinen J. (C) 8. Seilonen L. 7. Yahagi S.
Substitutes
17. Erjanko J. 6. Lammassaari L. 25. Paakala N. 31. Paivahonka R. 99. Pulli J. (G)	5. Aarnu A. 31. Anhava A. 9. Berardinelli J. 32. Koskiahde T. 20. Laakso L. 12. Laurinmaa M. 13. Toivari S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Lassila J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Jarvinen V. ↓, Laakso L. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Yahagi S. ⚽,
58', Hamalainen A. 🟨,
59', Eloranta A. ↓, Laurinmaa M. ↑,
65', Lassila J. ↓, Lammassaari L. ↑,
65', Haapalainen R. ↓, Erjanko J. ↑,
66', Hamalainen A. ↓, Anhava A. ↑,
66', Kurkisuo S. ↓, Aarnu A. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Liimatainen M. ⚽,
76', Kasurinen T. ↓, Paakala N. ↑,
76', Lehtinen J. ↓, Paivahonka R. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Seilonen L. ⚽,

Preview

HaPK is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vaajakoski has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Vaajakoski has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vaajakoski is the clear favorite.

We predict that Vaajakoski will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HaPK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, HaPK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haminan Pallo-Kissat
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
06.09.25	JPS - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - Lahden Reipas	0:7 ✺
16.08.25	MYPA - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	3:0 ✺
08.08.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - VJS Vantaa	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Grankulla IFK - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
07.09.25	Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas	1:6 ✺
30.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	7:0 ✺
16.08.25	Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Grankulla IFK - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
07.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
26.07.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - Vaajakoski	1:4
24.05.25	Vaajakoski - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	2:0

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