Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Losers stage

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Vaajakosken keskuskentta (Vaajakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Vaajakoski		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.2	2.05
	2.65	4.25	2.1
	2.67	4.27	2.09
	1.92	4.32	2.98	Watch
	2.85	4.25	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.72)	4.26 ↑ (4.05)	2.26 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaajakoski
36.9%

Draw
21.8%

Lahden Reipas
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

22.4%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.6%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaajakoski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaajakoski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lahden Reipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Toivari S. (G) 5. Aarnu A. 9. Berardinelli J. 28. Eloranta A. 14. Hamalainen A. 32. Jarvenpaa O. 10. Kovaqi G. 26. Kurkisuo S. 24. Liimatainen M. (C) 8. Seilonen L. 7. Yahagi S.	13. Ratto V. (C) 24. Ala-Kauhaluoma L. 9. Belabid A. 27. Helttunen O. 16. Jokiranta V. 14. Kose B. 10. Kostian J. 6. Kuparinen E. 23. Oksanen N. 8. Paalanen A. 17. Vatanen M.
Substitutes
18. Jarvinen V. 6. Kokkonen E. 23. Koskiahde T. 12. Laurinmaa M. 99. Roiha W. (G) 4. Suihkonen V.	31. Laine L. (G) 3. Nieminen J. 21. Niskanen R. 19. Riihela E. 4. Rokkonen M. 11. Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Kurkisuo S. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Kuparinen E. ⚽,
22', Kostian J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Paalanen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Jarvenpaa O. ↓, Suihkonen V. ↑,
55', Helttunen O. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Belabid A. ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, Traore B. ⚽,
69', Eloranta A. ↓, Laurinmaa M. ↑,
69', Paalanen A. ↓, Niskanen R. ↑,
69', Hamalainen A. ↓, Koskiahde T. ↑,
76', 1 - 5, Kose B. ⚽,
80', Berardinelli J. ↓, Kokkonen E. ↑,
80', Belabid A. ↓, Rokkonen M. ↑,
80', Kose B. ↓, Nieminen J. ↑,
84', Aarnu A. ↓, Jarvinen V. ↑,
85', 1 - 6, Vatanen M. ⚽,

Preview

Vaajakoski is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Reipas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vaajakoski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vaajakoski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
30.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	7:0 ✺
16.08.25	Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Grankulla IFK - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
07.08.25	Vaajakoski - JPS	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - Vaajakoski	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
30.08.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - Lahden Reipas	0:7 ✺
16.08.25	Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas	4:2 ✺
09.08.25	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2 ✺
03.08.25	Lahden Reipas - Puistolan Urheilijat	0:1 ✺
24.07.25	JPS - Lahden Reipas	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
16.08.25	Vaajakoski - Lahden Reipas	4:2
15.06.25	Lahden Reipas - Vaajakoski	3:1

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