Match Info

Tunisia Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Stade Gabèsien		Hammam-Lif

	1	X	2
	2.51	2.60	3.28	Watch
	2.45	2.5	3
	2.47	2.68	3.1
	2.45	2.66	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.55)	2.61 ↓ (2.86)	3.13 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Gabèsien
36.6%

Draw
34.6%

Hammam-Lif
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.4%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Gabèsien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hammam-Lif has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Gabèsien than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammam-Lif than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Stade Gabèsien - Hammam Lif Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Gabèsien won 1.

Stade Gabèsien is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hammam-Lif has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hammam-Lif may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stade Gabèsien won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Gabèsien won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
07.12.25	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Kasserine	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Kalaâ - Stade Gabèsien	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Moknine	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Hammam-Lif
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Monastir - Hammam-Lif	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
13.12.25	Hammam-Sousse - Hammam-Lif	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hammam-Lif - Océano Club de Kerkennah	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Menzel Bourguiba - Hammam-Lif	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Hammam-Lif - Tataouine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
06.05.23	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	0:0
21.12.22	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	1:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
30.05.19	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	1:1
Tunisian Cup
30.01.19	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	0:2
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.12.18	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	1:0
13.05.17	Stade Gabèsien - Hammam-Lif	2:0
29.03.17	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	1:0

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