Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League Women - Qualification - Final

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tele2 Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Bockova M. (Svk)


	Hammarby		Benfica

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.7
	3.2	3.3	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	3.24	3.41	2.13
	3.18	3.28	2.13	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.18	3.28	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.84)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)	2.07 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
28.4%

Draw
27.2%

Benfica
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23.7%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

23.5%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hammarby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Hammarby - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Benfica will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tamminen A. (G) 17. Lennartsson S. 2. Nystrom E. 18. Carlsson A. (C) 25. Andersson J. 10. Vallotto S. 7. Joramo E. 6. Miyagawa A. 41. Blakstad J. 19. Tandberg C. 11. Wangerheim E.	1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 16. Ucheibe C. 15. Costa C. 5. Lund M. 10. Faria A. 21. Pauleta (C) 8. Norton A. 22. Alidou d'Anjou M. 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 9. Raysla N.
Substitutes
14. Andersson B. 29. Edrud M. (G) 8. Gibson E. 20. Hasund V. 31. Holmberg S. 9. Josendal A. 4. Sorbo T. 23. Westin E.	14. Almeida L. 11. Brown J. 6. Cameirao B. 66. Costa R. (G) 25. Davidson C. 23. Gasper A. 77. Guedes N. 80. Lais 12. Lima T. (G) 3. Silva J.
Coaches
Sjogren M.	Patao F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Blakstad J. ⚽, Tandberg C. (A),
31', Ucheibe C. ↓, Lais ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Raysla N. ⚽, Alidou d'Anjou M. (A),
54', Tandberg C. 🟨,
58', Lennartsson S. 🟨,
65', Vallotto S. ↓, Westin E. ↑,
65', Miyagawa A. ↓, Sorbo T. ↑,
65', Faria A. ↓, Gasper A. ↑,
75', Amado C. 🟨,
77', Raysla N. ↓, Davidson C. ↑,
78', Pauels L. 🟨,
83', Lennartsson S. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
83', Wangerheim E. ↓, Hasund V. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Hammarby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF DFF
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
13.09.24	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	0:5 ✺
08.09.24	Hammarby - Kristianstad	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	Djurgården - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Trelleborg - Hammarby	0:8 ✺
21.08.24	Hammarby - Häcken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- SL Benfica Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
13.09.24	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
04.09.24	Benfica - Nordsjælland	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
30.08.24	Benfica - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup Women
23.08.24	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Benfica - Damaiense	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLW

Hammarby - Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide