Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 18

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: 3Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hammarby		GAIS

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	8
	1.41	4.80	6.75
	1.47	4.1	6.7
	1.41	5.35	7.72
	1.38	5.24	7.41	Watch
	1.34	5.2	7.55
	1.36	5.05	7.46	Watch
	1.38	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.91 ↑ (4.62)	7.3 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
67.9%

Draw
19.2%

GAIS
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19.6%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Hammarby aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

Hammarby - GAIS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - GAIS (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hammarby will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GAIS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hahn W. (C) 2. Skoglund H. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 16. Persson N. 11. Johansson O. 8. Karlsson M. 17. Boudri A. 26. Madjed M. 7. Abraham P. 9. Lind V.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 22. Cardaklija A. 4. Agren O. 2. de Brienne M. 8. Milovanovic W. 10. Sletsjoe H. 17. Thorkelsson R. 16. Andersson M. 20. Salter S. 11. Niklasson R.
Substitutes
20. Besara N. 45. Filip Jakobsson 6. Fofana I. 15. Hagen O. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 30. Kebbeh S. 24. Renecke W. 31. Steinke O. 5. Tekie T.	26. Asumang B. 27. Bawa M. 24. Beckman F. 34. Collander D. 12. Frej R. 33. Hermansen A. (G) 14. Jorgensen S. 32. Pettersson O. 21. Vasic N.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Holmberg F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Lind V. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Abraham P. ⚽, Lind V. (A),
43', Sletsjoe H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Andersson M. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
58', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Collander D. ↑,
58', Salter S. ↓, Vasic N. ↑,
66', Johansson O. ↓, Tekie T. ↑,
71', Niklasson R. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
76', de Brienne M. 🟨,
84', Abraham P. ↓, Kebbeh S. ↑,
84', Boudri A. ↓, Steinke O. ↑,
84', Milovanovic W. ↓, Bawa M. ↑,
90+1', Winther F. ↓, Renecke W. ↑,
90+1', Madjed M. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

GAIS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hammarby is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Hammarby: Adjei F. (Yellow Cards) Kone S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in GAIS: Asumang B. (Concussion) Bawa M. (Inactive) Hermansen A. (Injury) Holmen K. (Knee Injury) Lindberg J. (Concussion) Lundgren G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sims K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hammarby: 17.4% GAIS: 0.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49:20	29	43
10	GAIS	22	8	6	8	28:20	8	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.08.26	Kalmar - Hammarby	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Hammarby - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.08.26	Hammarby - Häcken	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Raków Częstochowa - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Anderlecht - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTL
- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.08.26	GAIS - Malmö	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Halmstad - GAIS	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Nordsjælland - GAIS	6:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.07.26	GAIS - Halmstad	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	GAIS - Nordsjælland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.05.26	GAIS - Hammarby	2:0
17.08.25	Hammarby - GAIS	1:2
13.07.25	GAIS - Hammarby	3:2
26.08.24	Hammarby - GAIS	0:0
07.07.24	GAIS - Hammarby	0:0
Svenska Cupen
25.02.18	Hammarby - GAIS	3:3
Swedish Superettan
26.10.14	GAIS - Hammarby	0:0

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