Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 17

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kalmar		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.1	1.53
	5.00	4.00	1.62
	5.25	3.95	1.58
	5.45	4.3	1.6
	4.76	4.05	1.68
	5.35	4.25	1.57
	5.34	4.17	1.6	Watch
	5	4.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.17)	4.12 ↑ (3.82)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
18.2%

Draw
22.8%

Hammarby
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

23.8%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Kalmar - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hammarby will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 27. Bjorklund K. 39. Saetra L. 20. Almqvist A. 2. Larsson V. 13. Rosenqvist C. 23. R. Gojani (C) 21. Magashy A. 24. Sagoe Jr C. 10. Soderback M. 70. Emeka Nnamani	1. Hahn W. (C) 2. Skoglund H. 6. Fofana I. 3. Winther F. 16. Persson N. 28. Adjei F. 8. Karlsson M. 26. Madjed M. 9. Lind V. 17. Boudri A. 7. Abraham P.
Substitutes
7. Chourak N. 5. Hallberg M. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 18. Lawal S. 3. Overby S. 12. Ravik Z. 9. Stolt M.	20. Besara N. 4. Eriksson V. 15. Hagen O. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 11. Johansson O. 30. Kebbeh S. 24. Renecke W. 31. Steinke O. 5. Tekie T.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Adjei F. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Adjei F. ⚽, Boudri A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Soderback M. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
46', Emeka Nnamani ↓, Hallberg M. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Winther F. ⚽, Lind V. (A),
54', 0 - 3, Persson N. ⚽, Boudri A. (A),
55', Magashy A. ↓, Chourak N. ↑,
55', Bjorklund K. ↓, Ravik Z. ↑,
61', 0 - 4, Abraham P. ⚽, Lind V. (A),
73', Sagoe Jr C. ↓, Stolt M. ↑,
74', Adjei F. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
74', Madjed M. ↓, Hagen O. ↑,
76', Abraham P. ↓, Kebbeh S. ↑,
80', Boudri A. ↓, Besara N. ↑,
80', Persson N. ↓, Steinke O. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kalmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hammarby is the team to beat.

There will not play in Kalmar: Larsson V. (Injury) Shamoun N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hammarby: Kone S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hammarby: 19.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49:20	29	43
13	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	21:36	-15	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Häcken - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Kalmar - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	Hammarby - Kalmar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWTL
- Hammarby IF Football
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Hammarby - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.08.26	Hammarby - Häcken	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Raków Częstochowa - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	Anderlecht - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.07.26	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
12.07.26	Hammarby - Kalmar	2:0
Svenska Cupen
03.03.25	Hammarby - Kalmar	2:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.08.24	Kalmar - Hammarby	1:4
31.03.24	Hammarby - Kalmar	3:1
20.08.23	Kalmar - Hammarby	0:0
16.07.23	Hammarby - Kalmar	3:1
30.10.22	Hammarby - Kalmar	4:2

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