Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 19

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Hammarby IP (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Hammarby TFF		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.30	5.25	6.75
	1.42	4.35	5.50
	1.33	5.87	8.27
	1.44	4.95	5.72	Watch
	1.26	5.80	8.15
	1.32	5.55	7.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.49)	5.3 ↑ (4.25)	7.03 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby TFF
69.2%

Draw
17.6%

Karlberg
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.4%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby TFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby TFF's performance.

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Hammarby TFF - Karlberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Opancar E. (G) 23. Ek N. 16. Elezaj G. (C) 12. Hana G. 18. Hedlof B. 11. Johansson A. 3. Lindahl J. 24. Loqvist W. 2. Lwampindy-Bofua E. 7. Moczarny O. 9. Sadarangani E.	1. Gkoulios A. (G) 17. Aslund H. 4. Backman A. 25. Hogberg F. 19. Jemal A. 11. Mitku M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 21. Nilsson F. 12. Sequar A. (C) 24. Sietsema L.
Substitutes
13. Camara A. 5. Dwomoh R. 4. Eklund C. 15. Gibson W. 20. Lohake A. 28. Musa I. 35. Nyberg G. (G)	5. Basaric B. 35. Bojang E. (G) 26. Carlsson E. 23. Erlandsson A. 14. Fati A. 16. Jansson M. 18. Lalic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Nieminen Eriksson F. 🟨,
29', Moczarny O. ↓, Musa I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Jemal A. ↓, Jansson M. ↑,
69', Sietsema L. ↓, Lalic M. ↑,
69', Nilsson F. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
77', Sadarangani E. ↓, Lohake A. ↑,
77', Elezaj G. ↓, Gibson W. ↑,
83', Negash N. ↓, Carlsson E. ↑,
90+3', Hedlof B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby TFF won 1.

Karlberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Karlberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hammarby TFF is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hammarby TFF won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby TFF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51:25	26	45
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32

Last Results with these Odds

Hammarby TFF - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.17%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Piteå	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Hammarby TFF	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Hammarby TFF - FBK Karlstad	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Arlanda	5:1 ✺
26.06.26	FBK Karlstad - Hammarby TFF	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTWW
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.08.26	Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlberg - Brage	2:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.08.26	Karlberg - Stocksund	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Enköping - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Stocksund - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.06.26	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	0:2
Club Friendly
22.03.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:3
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.10.25	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	1:1
23.05.25	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	1:1
11.08.24	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:1
21.04.24	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	2:2

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