Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadshagens IP (Vasastaden)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlberg		Assyriska Föreningen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.6	2.62
	2.16	3.4	2.54
	2.26	3.80	2.69	Watch
	2.33	3.52	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)	3.58 ↓ (3.73)	2.63 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlberg
40.2%

Draw
25.3%

Assyriska Föreningen
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

24.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Assyriska Föreningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Assyriska Föreningen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Karlberg - Assyriska Föreningen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gkoulios A. (G) 9. Dudziak K. 3. Hellgren I. 21. Khan A. 8. Negash N. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. 16. Rydell A. 12. Sequar A. 24. Sietsema L. 26. Ward K. 4. Westerberg J. (C)	31. Osayi K. (G) 10. Aphrem C. 23. Asberg V. 24. Essombe Mambingo J. 21. Felder Aaltonen F. 22. Haddad M. 13. Jarret-Marston K. 5. Karlsson A. 6. Shlimon L. 9. Tibbling J. (C) 3. Wandin S.
Substitutes
14. Allard J. 35. Bojang E. (G) 25. Geiger N. 15. Hall V. 22. Lindqvist R. 11. Muyenga A. 20. Othman R.	2. Denoual K. 7. Fernandez H. 19. Hacka L. 16. Hillemar L. 30. Ishchyk S. 15. Khomenko V. 1. Rhawi J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Tibbling J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', Shlimon L. 🟨,
64', 0 - 2, Aphrem C. ⚽,
67', Negash N. ↓, Geiger N. ↑,
67', Sietsema L. ↓, Hall V. ↑,
72', Sequar A. ↓, Allard J. ↑,
72', Aphrem C. ↓, Hillemar L. ↑,
72', Aphrem C. 🟨,
75', 0 - 3, Tibbling J. ⚽,
79', Rydell A. ↓, Othman R. ↑,
80', Khan A. ↓, Muyenga A. ↑,
80', Jarret-Marston K. ↓, Hacka L. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Dudziak K. ⚽,
87', Felder Aaltonen F. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
90', Wandin S. 🟨,
90', Hellgren I. 🟨,
90+2', Fernandez H. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, Dudziak K. ⚽, Ward K. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Karlberg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Assyriska FF is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karlberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Karlberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.10.25	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Karlberg - Vasalund	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Örebro Syrianska - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Team TG - Karlberg	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTWW
- Assyriska Föreningen
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.10.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Stocksund	3:3 ✺
11.10.25	Sollentuna - Assyriska Föreningen	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Enköping - Assyriska Föreningen	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Haninge	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Arlanda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.04.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	1:2
03.11.24	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	2:3
26.05.24	Karlberg - Assyriska Föreningen	3:1
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
12.06.22	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	3:2

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