Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Hanwell Town		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.25
	1.92	4.07	3.21
	1.88	3.78	3.45
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.7)	3.84 ↓ (4.25)	3.29 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
48.2%

Draw
23.9%

Harrow Borough
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

21.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

21.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hanwell Town's form might have worsened.

Harrow Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanwell Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Hanwell Town - Harrow Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18).

Recent matches Hanwell Town is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harrow is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Harrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hanwell Town will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hanwell Town won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hanwell Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
09.09.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hanwell Town	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Hanwell Town - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Hanwell Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Totton - Hanwell Town	5:3 ✺
19.08.23	Hanwell Town - Merthyr Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTLL
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
09.09.23	Harrow Borough - Sholing	3:2 ✺
28.08.23	Hendon - Harrow Borough	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Harrow Borough - Poole Town	2:4 ✺
19.08.23	Basingstoke Town - Harrow Borough	5:0 ✺
15.08.23	Harrow Borough - Walton & Hersham	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.02.23	Hanwell Town - Harrow Borough	1:1
20.08.22	Harrow Borough - Hanwell Town	0:1
Club Friendly
07.08.18	Harrow Borough - Hanwell Town	3:0

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