Match Info

State Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Toto Turner Stadium (Be'er Sheva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Hapoel Sderot

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.02	12	29
	1.03	13.52	43.92
	1.04	15	50
	1.02	11	51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.04)	12.88 ↑ (10)	43.48 ↑ (25)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
90.6%

Draw
7.2%

Hapoel Sderot
2.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.3%

9.1%

3.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Hapoel Sderot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Sderot Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kanaan M. ⚽,
16', Davidzada O. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, Miguel Vitor ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Aviv G. ⚽,

Preview

Hapoel Beer Sheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hapoel Beer Sheva is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.12.25	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Netanya	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWTW
- Hapoel Sderot
Israeli State Cup
29.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Sderot	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 W

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