Match Info

ISRAEL: Ligat ha'Al - Round 7

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 2


	Maccabi Petah Tikva		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.65
	4.75	3.75	1.66	Watch
	5.03	3.8	1.68
	4.64	3.72	1.72	Watch
	4.74	3.72	1.71	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (5.13)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Petah Tikva
19.7%

Draw
24.9%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

24%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

23.1%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Wolff M. (G) 26. Deznet G. 5. Gojkovic R. 25. Galabov P. 16. Cohen Y. 18. Shamir E. 28. Yehoshua N. 72. Golasa E. 10. Quinonez D. 8. Mahamid A. 23. Damascan V.	55. Eliasi N. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 5. Blorian O. 3. Baltaxa M. 22. Lopes H. (C) 25. Lucas Ventura 10. Biton D. 26. Peretz E. 20. Kangwa K. 27. Stoyanov Y. 14. Garita A.
Substitutes
20. Cohen I. 14. Glezer T. 9. Hazan L. 2. Karo A. 98. Litvinov T. (G) 11. Roizman O. 17. Salem A. 7. Stor L. 15. Vered I.	11. Almog E. 70. Farhud S. 16. Ganah A. C. 8. Gordana R. 23. Hazut I. 1. Marciano O. (G) 7. Sefer A. 18. Tibi E. 17. Turgeman A.
Coaches
Roman D.	Kozuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Biton D. ⚽, Kangwa K. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Mahamid A. ⚽, Cohen I. (A),
37', 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Stoyanov Y. ⚽, Kangwa K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Quinonez D. ↓, Roizman O. ↑,
51', 1 - 3, Lopes H. ⚽, Stoyanov Y. (A),
52', Kangwa K. 🟨,
62', Shamir E. ↓, Cohen I. ↑,
63', Mahamid A. ↓, Hazan L. ↑,
64', 1 - 4, Kangwa K. ⚽, Lopes H. (A),
71', Kangwa K. ↓, Turgeman A. ↑,
71', Stoyanov Y. ↓, Farhud S. ↑,
78', 1 - 5, Turgeman A. ⚽, Biton D. (A),
79', Yehoshua N. ↓, Vered I. ↑,
79', Garita A. ↓, Sefer A. ↑,
82', Peretz E. ↓, Gordana R. ↑,
82', Lucas Ventura ↓, Almog E. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 5, Hazan L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Petah Tikva won 2.

Recent matches Maccabi Petah Tikva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Beer Sheva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maccabi Petah Tikva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hapoel Beer Sheva have a series of home games.

In this match Hapoel Beer Sheva is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Maccabi Petah Tikva won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 11:35 (average 0.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Petah Tikva won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Ligat haAl
05.10.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Bnei Raina	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Haifa	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTWL
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
06.10.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Hadera	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
30.05.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0
Israeli Ligat haAl
17.02.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:1
16.12.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:4
Israeli State Cup
02.03.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:0 ET
01.02.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.01.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1
17.10.21	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0

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