Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Lod Municipal Stadium (Lod)


	Hapoel Bnei Lod		Holon Yermiyahu

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.73
	4.1	3.55	1.75
	3.8	3.23	1.72
	4.17	3.52	1.77
	4.17	3.48	1.75
	4.1	3.55	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.1)	3.46 ↓ (3.59)	1.75 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bnei Lod
22.3%

Draw
26.1%

Holon Yermiyahu
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

25.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bnei Lod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Bnei Lod's form might have worsened.

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holon Yermiyahu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Bnei Lod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holon Yermiyahu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 0 - 1, Ahi Mordechai T. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Ageev U. ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, Yosef K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli State Cup
01.12.24	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
26.11.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.11.24	Ironi Beit Shemesh - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Tzeirei Tira	2:3 ✺
05.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Dimona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
02.12.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2 ✺
11.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
08.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
05.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Tzeirei Tira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
01.03.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod	5:0
28.09.23	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu	2:2
12.04.22	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu	3:3
31.12.21	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:1
16.03.21	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:0
10.12.20	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1

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