Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Lod Municipal Stadium (Lod)


	Hapoel Bnei Lod		Tzeirei Tira

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	3.9
	1.73	3.65	4
	1.7	3.41	3.66
	1.77	3.7	3.93
	1.71	3.62	4.22
	1.73	3.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	3.95 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bnei Lod
52.2%

Draw
25.1%

Tzeirei Tira
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

20.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bnei Lod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tzeirei Tira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Bnei Lod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirei Tira than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tzeirei Tira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hapoel Bnei Lod - Tzeirei Tira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Malka S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Muassi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, Malka S. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Reuven O. M. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, Sabre A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Dimona	0:3 ✺
01.11.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Bnei Lod	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTLL
- Tzeirei Tira FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Tzeirei Tira	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Tzeirei Tira - Nordia Jerusalem	0:3 ✺
22.10.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Tzeirei Tira	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	Tzeirei Tira - Dimona	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Tzeirei Tira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT

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