Match Info

Leumit League - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Netanya Stadium (Netanya)


	Hapoel Hadera		Hapoel Kfar Saba

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.3	2.12
	3.09	3.32	2.2
	3.05	3.51	2.19	Watch
	3.03	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.62)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Hadera
30.3%

Draw
27.5%

Hapoel Kfar Saba
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Hapoel Kfar Saba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Hadera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Kfar Saba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Koren Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 2, ⚽,
77', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Hapoel Hadera is Leumit League (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Hadera won 2.

Hapoel Hadera has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hapoel Kfar Saba is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Kfar Saba might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Hadera won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Hadera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Hapoel Kfar Saba	8	2	0	6	9:20	-11	6

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Kfar Saba - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.51%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Hadera	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Hadera	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Hadera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Liga Leumit
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
05.12.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Hadera	1:0
Israeli State Cup
11.12.22	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:3
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.04.21	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Hadera	1:2
27.02.21	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Hadera	0:1
06.12.20	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:1
Israeli Toto Cup
11.08.20	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Hadera	1:1
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.06.20	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0

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