Match Info

ISRAEL: Ligat ha'Al - Round 7

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Netanya Stadium (Netanya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 1


	Hapoel Hadera		Maccabi Netanya

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.75	3.6	1.87	Watch
	3.95	3.78	1.91
	3.87	3.71	1.86	Watch
	3.82	3.72	1.87	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.69)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)	1.88 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Hadera
24.8%

Draw
25.6%

Maccabi Netanya
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

26.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

22.8%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Maccabi Netanya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Netanya than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Netanya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Netanya Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hapoel Hadera will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Maccabi Netanya will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Netanya: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Levita O. (G) 24. Mbodj M. 27. Lababidi D. (C) 6. Cisse A. 4. Eissat L. 26. Shalom H. 10. Donyoh G. 18. Einbinder D. 3. Rokach L. 29. Adeniyi J. 7. Barsky R.	22. Nir On O. Y. (G) 26. Jaber K. (C) 3. Kanarik A. 25. Stoioanov N. 72. Keller R. 40. Khattab O. 10. Bilu O. 19. Taji S. 91. Heriberto Tavares 15. Levi M. 66. Zlatanovic I.
Substitutes
22. Antman O. (G) 14. Cohen B. E. 91. Diby D. 5. Levy I. 11. Schwartz R. 9. Shabo Y. 17. Sholmyster I. 8. Trost I. 77. Twizer R.	14. Cohen B. 21. Djetei M. 17. Halaf L. 2. Meir R. 7. Plakushchenko M. 8. Sade Y. 9. Shviro I. 1. Tzarfati T. (G) 70. Vargas F.
Coaches
Silvas H.	Balbul M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Barsky R. 🟨,
21', Kanarik A. 🟨,
34', Nir On O. Y. 🟥,
36', Bilu O. ↓, Tzarfati T. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Einbinder D. ↓, Twizer R. ↑,
46', Heriberto Tavares ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
48', Shalom H. 🟨,
49', Rokach L. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Adeniyi J. ⚽, Lababidi D. (A),
56', Levi M. 🟨,
60', Donyoh G. (Pen),
60', Levi M. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
60', Kanarik A. ↓, Plakushchenko M. ↑,
62', Lababidi D. 🟨,
64', Jaber K. 🟨,
70', Barsky R. ↓, Trost I. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Stoioanov N. ⚽, Cohen B. (A),
81', 1 - 2, Cohen B. ⚽,
83', Rokach L. ↓, Diby D. ↑,
83', Shalom H. ↓, Sholmyster I. ↑,
90+1', Khattab O. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Eissat L. ⚽, Trost I. (A),
90+4', Khattab O. ↓, Sade Y. ↑,
90+10', Trost I. ↓, Shabo Y. ↑,
90+11', Diby D. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Hadera won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Maccabi Netanya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hapoel Hadera won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Hadera won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Ligat haAl
05.10.24	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
30.09.24	Hapoel Hadera - MS Ashdod	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Hadera	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT
- Maccabi Netanya
Israeli Ligat haAl
06.10.24	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Netanya	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Maccabi Netanya - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Netanya	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Haifa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Toto Cup
28.07.24	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Netanya	2:5
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.05.24	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Hadera	1:2
16.03.24	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Hadera	1:3
30.12.23	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Netanya	1:4
Israeli Toto Cup
30.07.23	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Hadera	3:1
Israeli Ligat haAl
25.02.23	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Hadera	1:0
Israeli Toto Cup
07.12.22	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Hadera	1:0 penalties

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