Match Info

ISRAEL: State Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Toto Turner Stadium (Be'er Sheva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Hapoel Hadera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.13	7.5	14.5
	1.12	6.8	16
	1.12	7.33	16.49	Watch
	1.1	7.8	17.5
	1.12	6.8	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.4)	7.25 ↑ (4.33)	16.1 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
81.7%

Draw
12.6%

Hapoel Hadera
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

20.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

20.2%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Beer Sheva's performance.

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Hadera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Beer Sheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Hadera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Hadera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ganah A. C. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Lopes H. (Pen),
44', 3 - 0, Biton D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 4 - 0, Kangwa K. ⚽,
77', 5 - 0, Stoyanov Y. ⚽,
85', 6 - 0, Biton D. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Beer Sheva won 5.

Hapoel Beer Sheva is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hapoel Hadera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Hadera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hapoel Beer Sheva have a series of guest games.

In this match Hapoel Beer Sheva is absolute favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hapoel Beer Sheva won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 35:11 (average 2.2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Beer Sheva won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:5 (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
12.01.25	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.24	Dimona - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:4 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
21.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWT
- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Ligat haAl
12.01.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
31.12.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Hadera	0:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
27.12.24	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Hadera	1:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
21.12.24	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
04.01.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2
21.09.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Hadera	2:1
02.01.24	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2
26.08.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Hadera	3:0
04.03.23	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:3
09.11.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Hadera	3:0
26.12.21	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2

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