Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 8

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Karmiel		Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.6	2.72
	2.15	3.6	2.76
	2.19	3.45	2.89	Watch
	2.17	3.54	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.19)	3.55 ↑ (3.45)	2.79 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Karmiel
42%

Draw
25.5%

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Karmiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Shami I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Gonzalez I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 13).

Hapoel Karmiel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Karmiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hapoel Karmiel has had a series of away games.

Hapoel Karmiel might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
31.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Karmiel	1:4 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Karmiel - MS Tira	3:5 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Karmiel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLW
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
30.10.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Tamra	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:4 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Maccabi Bnei Jadeidi-Makr - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	5:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT

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