Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 10

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Karmiel		Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.55	6.1
	1.37	4.38	6.06
	1.39	4.64	6.34	Watch
	1.36	4.33	7.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.48 ↑ (4.1)	6.48 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Karmiel
65.8%

Draw
20.2%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.1%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Karmiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. M Nujeidat Ahmad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Hapoel Karmiel (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Karmiel (votes: 1 - 50%). M Nujeidat Ahmad (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Hershkovitz T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Shami I. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Hapoel Karmiel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

M Nujeidat Ahmad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Hapoel Karmiel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hapoel Karmiel is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Hapoel Karmiel will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
28.11.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Karmiel	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Karmiel	1:4 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWL
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Israeli Liga Alef North
28.11.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Tzeirey Tamra	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLLT

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