Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 22

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Hapoel Kfar Shalem		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.8	10.5
	1.3	5	8
	1.26	4.95	9.07
	1.27	4.95	9.07
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.23	5.3	10.6
	1.3	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	4.93 ↑ (4.75)	9.03 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
71.5%

Draw
18.4%

Hapoel Marmorek
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19.1%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.6%

17.5%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Kfar Shalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 2.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hapoel Marmorek has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hapoel Kfar Shalem is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hapoel Kfar Shalem to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:1 ✺
26.02.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	3:2 ✺
23.02.24	Dimona - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.03.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Ironi Modiin	0:4 ✺
26.02.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1 ✺
22.02.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Yavne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
23.12.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3:2
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.02.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Marmorek	1:3
07.10.22	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:2
Israeli Liga Alef North
20.04.22	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Marmorek	2:0
Israeli Liga Alef South
08.03.22	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Marmorek	3:2
09.11.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:1

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