Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 17

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday


	Dimona		Hapoel Kfar Shalem

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.35	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.23	3.05	2.69
	2.3	3.15	2.95
	2.31	2.95	3.08
	2.35	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.72)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)	2.85 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimona
39.3%

Draw
29.1%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

31.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dimona's performance.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimona than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dimona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimona won 0.

Recent matches Dimona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dimona have a series of guest games.

Dimona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dimona won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Dimona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Dimona
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.02.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Dimona	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Dimona	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	Dimona - Ironi Modiin	1:2 ✺
01.02.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Dimona	0:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.01.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Dimona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
15.02.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:2 ✺
06.02.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:1 ✺
02.02.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:1 ✺
25.01.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Nordia Jerusalem	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.11.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Dimona	3:1
Israeli Liga Alef South
13.09.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Dimona	2:2
Israeli Liga Alef Promotion Play Offs
28.04.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Dimona	3:2
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.01.23	Dimona - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:0
18.03.22	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Dimona	3:0
30.11.21	Dimona - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:3

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