Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 10

Date: 15 January 2024, Monday


	Hapoel Kfar Shalem		Holon Yermiyahu

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.4
	1.57	4	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.68	4.72
	1.68	3.72	4.57
	1.61	3.82	4.78
	1.57	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)	3.85 ↑ (3.25)	4.66 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
56.8%

Draw
23.7%

Holon Yermiyahu
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kfar Shalem's performance.

Holon Yermiyahu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Kfar Shalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hapoel Kfar Shalem is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.01.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3:2 ✺
28.12.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	5:1 ✺
23.12.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:2 ✺
13.12.23	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTW
- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli State Cup
10.01.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.01.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:2 ✺
29.12.23	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.23	Shikun Vatikim Ramat Gan - Holon Yermiyahu	0:8 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
22.12.23	Holon Yermiyahu - Ironi Modiin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
09.03.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Holon Yermiyahu	3:0
04.11.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1
08.04.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3
24.12.21	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Holon Yermiyahu	0:2
13.12.19	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:0

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