Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 23

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.9	3	4.2
	1.94	3	3.96
	1.94	2.96	3.96
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	1.97	2.92	4.06
	1.9	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.12)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	3.88 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
46.6%

Draw
30%

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Ironi Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 0.

Recent matches Holon Yermiyahu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Holon Yermiyahu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Holon Yermiyahu won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Holon Yermiyahu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
15.03.24	Ironi Modiin - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Maccabi Yavne - Holon Yermiyahu	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Bnei Lod	5:0 ✺
26.02.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTWL
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
15.03.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2 ✺
26.02.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
10.01.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:3
Israeli Liga Alef South
29.12.23	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1
17.03.23	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2
11.11.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	1:1
21.01.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Holon Yermiyahu	0:0
24.09.21	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1
24.01.20	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1

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