Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 12

Date: 25 January 2024, Thursday


	Hapoel Kfar Shalem		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.25	11
	1.18	6	12
	1.17	5.5	8.9
	1.22	5.18	14.19
	1.17	6.15	12.4
	1.18	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.4)	5.85 ↑ (4.33)	11.75 ↑ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
76.7%

Draw
15.5%

Nordia Jerusalem
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.1%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

19.7%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kfar Shalem's performance.

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nordia Jerusalem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Kfar Shalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hapoel Kfar Shalem will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nordia Jerusalem will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Recent matches Hapoel Kfar Shalem is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nordia Jerusalem is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hapoel Kfar Shalem is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.01.24	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:0 ✺
15.01.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Holon Yermiyahu	3:1 ✺
05.01.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3:2 ✺
28.12.23	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	5:1 ✺
23.12.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWT
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.01.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:0 ✺
15.01.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
09.01.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.12.23	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
21.12.23	Maccabi Yavne - Nordia Jerusalem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
21.01.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3
24.09.21	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Nordia Jerusalem	1:0
09.11.19	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0

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