Match Info

ISRAEL: State Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Beitar Jerusalem

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8	5.25	1.26
	7.6	5.4	1.28
	7.95	5.56	1.28	Watch
	9.1	5.65	1.23
	7.6	5.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.05 ↑ (7.23)	5.45 ↑ (4.33)	1.27 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
11.3%

Draw
16.7%

Beitar Jerusalem
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

21.1%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

18.9%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beitar Jerusalem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beitar Jerusalem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Kiryat Yam will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Yona A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Golan M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Hadad G. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, George M. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Hapoel Kiryat Yam in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Beitar Jerusalem is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beitar Jerusalem is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Alef North
24.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Hapoel Bueine - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:3 ✺
13.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Beit Shean	3:0 ✺
06.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Tzeirei Kafr Kanna	6:0 ✺
03.12.24	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW
- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.12.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	MS Ashdod - Beitar Jerusalem	2:3 ✺
09.12.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Beitar Jerusalem	4:1 ✺
04.12.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva	5:0 ✺
01.12.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Beitar Jerusalem	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWT

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