Match Info

Leumit League - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.35
	2.01	3.45	3.45
	1.98	3.66	3.44	Watch
	1.93	3.38	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.6)	3.5 ↓ (4.07)	3.43 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
47%

Draw
26.3%

Hapoel Afula
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.9%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Kiryat Yam's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Afula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Kiryat Yam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Afula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hapoel Kiryat Yam will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Talias S. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Mizrahi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 2, Malka Y. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is Qualified for Leumit League (Promotion Group )

Hapoel Afula is Leumit League (Relegation Group )

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Hapoel Kiryat Yam is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Kiryat Yam won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kiryat Yam	8	5	0	3	23:13	10	15
6	Hapoel Afula	8	4	2	2	16:12	4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.04.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Acre	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLTW
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
27.03.26	Hapoel Afula - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
15.12.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:0

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