Match Info

Leumit League - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Hapoel Hadera

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.7
	1.85	3.57	3.98
	2.05	3.43	3.37	Watch
	1.86	3.42	4.15
	2	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.05)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	3.68 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
48%

Draw
27%

Hapoel Hadera
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Hadera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Shimon D. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Barak E. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Malle L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 🟥,
87', 2 - 2, Frias A. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Hadera - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.58%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
20.10.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWW
- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Hadera	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Hadera	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTLT

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