Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Netanya Stadium (Netanya)


	Hapoel Hadera		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.05	2.82
	2.37	3.11	2.99
	2.36	3.21	3	Watch
	2.31	3.02	2.97
	2.17	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.18)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Hadera
39.5%

Draw
29.4%

Hapoel Afula
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Khoury B. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Ben Shushan Y. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Elimelech E. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hapoel Afula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Hadera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Hadera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hapoel Afula	8	4	2	2	16:12	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Afula - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.18%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.05.26	Hapoel Hadera - Ironi Modiin	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Hadera	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Hadera	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Hadera	3:1 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
04.05.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	4:1 ✺
24.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
06.02.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Hadera	0:1
05.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1
11.05.18	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:0
09.01.18	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1
25.08.17	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Hadera	0:2

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