Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 8

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Marmorek		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.45	2.2
	2.63	3.59	2.24
	2.66	3.45	2.34	Watch
	2.64	3.44	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Marmorek
34%

Draw
26%

Nordia Jerusalem
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.4%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nordia Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Hapoel Marmorek aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Nordia Jerusalem aligns with the current prediction.

Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hapoel Marmorek (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Marmorek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Elmaliach L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 2, Yehezkel S. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Marmorek won 1.

Recent performances by Hapoel Marmorek have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nordia Jerusalem is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Marmorek won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Marmorek won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	2:4 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Beitar Yavne	1:3 ✺
19.09.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWLW
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
31.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	4:2 ✺
10.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Tzeirei Tira	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Kfar Saba 1928	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
01.03.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:1
05.11.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Marmorek	2:1
26.02.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1
22.09.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:1
13.04.22	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1
31.12.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Marmorek	2:2
07.05.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0

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