Match Info

Leumit League - Round 20

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel


	Hapoel Nof HaGalil		Hapoel Kfar Shalem

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.58	3.15	2.48	Watch
	2.69	3.37	2.49	Watch
	2.62	3.13	2.44
	2.66	3.14	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.41)	3.2 ↓ (3.6)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
35.3%

Draw
28.4%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (-1%)

Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Shalem Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Kfar Shalem (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Hapoel Nof HaGalil (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Hapoel Nof HaGalil (1.87) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Nof HaGalil (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Hapoel Kfar Shalem (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Tishler D. ⚽,
45', Sevi 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Mamatah E. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Onikatsi P. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Golan I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 1.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	8	4	2	2	17:17	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
16.01.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Herzliya	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Modiin	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWTWT
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.01.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Ra`anana	2:1 ✺
12.01.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:2 ✺
05.01.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Bnei Yehuda	0:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
22.12.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
21.09.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:2
13.01.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	4:3
05.09.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:3
17.05.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:0
12.03.21	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1
27.11.20	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	5:1

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