Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Hapoel Nof HaGalil		Ironi Modiin

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.05	2.32
	2.75	3.17	2.55
	2.7	3.22	2.58	Watch
	2.93	2.99	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.35)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.45 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
32.9%

Draw
29.6%

Ironi Modiin
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Nof HaGalil's form might have worsened.

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ironi Modiin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Nof HaGalil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ironi Modiin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Modiin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hapoel Nof HaGalil will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Nof HaGalil (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Melman H. S. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Broun S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Hapoel Nof HaGalil is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ironi Modiin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ironi Modiin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hapoel Nof HaGalil has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ironi Modiin	8	2	2	4	12:15	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Nof HaGalil - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.69%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
15.05.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Hadera	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.05.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Acre	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Jaffa	4:1 ✺
05.05.26	Hapoel Hadera - Ironi Modiin	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Modiin	3:0
24.08.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1

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