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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Nof HaGalil 20.6%
Draw 24.2%
Hapoel Petah Tikva 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.5%
20.4%
68.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11%
19.5%
71.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Nof HaGalil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Nof HaGalil's performance.
Hapoel Petah Tikva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Petah Tikva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Nof HaGalil that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Petah Tikva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
Hapoel Petah Tikva will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Rohana E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).
Hapoel Nof HaGalil is Leumit League (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Petah Tikva is Qualified for Leumit League (Promotion Group )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 3.
Hapoel Nof HaGalil has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Hapoel Petah Tikva is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Hapoel Petah Tikva is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:23 (average 1.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).
Israel
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