Match Info

Leumit League - Round 21

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel


	Hapoel Kfar Saba		Hapoel Nof HaGalil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.65	Watch
	1.86	3.63	3.85
	1.85	3.79	3.78	Watch
	1.83	3.46	3.76
	1.81	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.03)	3.59 ↑ (3.23)	3.74 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kfar Saba
50%

Draw
25.5%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kfar Saba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kfar Saba's performance.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Nof HaGalil Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Hapoel Nof HaGalil (2.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Hapoel Nof HaGalil (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Nof HaGalil (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Tadesa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Shavit I. 🟥,
73', 1 - 1, Buganim R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 14 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Kfar Saba won 3.

Hapoel Kfar Saba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hapoel Nof HaGalil is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hapoel Kfar Saba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Kfar Saba won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Kfar Saba won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Hapoel Kfar Saba	8	2	0	6	9:20	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Liga Leumit
26.01.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Afula	3:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
15.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.01.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTL
- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
23.01.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Herzliya	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Modiin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
29.09.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1
14.02.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:0
18.10.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1
02.02.24	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:3
18.09.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0
03.03.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:3
14.11.22	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0

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